Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.003997 0.004201 0.004410 0.004640 0.004887 0.005144 0.005432
2025-01-05 0.003583 0.003882 0.004201 0.004569 0.004982 0.005433 0.005967
2025-01-12 0.003369 0.003725 0.004116 0.004581 0.005120 0.005731 0.006480
2025-01-19 0.003102 0.003481 0.003906 0.004421 0.005035 0.005748 0.006648
2025-01-26 0.002983 0.003393 0.003862 0.004443 0.005150 0.005993 0.007088
2025-02-02 0.002938 0.003385 0.003906 0.004564 0.005384 0.006387 0.007728
2025-02-09 0.002809 0.003268 0.003811 0.004509 0.005393 0.006496 0.008005
2025-02-16 0.002717 0.003192 0.003761 0.004501 0.005458 0.006674 0.008377
2025-02-23 0.002626 0.003111 0.003698 0.004474 0.005492 0.006809 0.008695
2025-03-02 0.002577 0.003079 0.003695 0.004521 0.005621 0.007074 0.009200
2025-03-09 0.002495 0.003002 0.003631 0.004484 0.005637 0.007182 0.009490
2025-03-16 0.002417 0.002928 0.003567 0.004443 0.005642 0.007275 0.009758
2025-03-23 0.002325 0.002834 0.003475 0.004364 0.005596 0.007297 0.009930
2025-03-30 0.002244 0.002751 0.003396 0.004299 0.005565 0.007341 0.010138
2025-04-06 0.002198 0.002712 0.003374 0.004310 0.005641 0.007538 0.010590
2025-04-13 0.002094 0.002594 0.003241 0.004163 0.005485 0.007388 0.010487
2025-04-20 0.002059 0.002566 0.003229 0.004182 0.005568 0.007595 0.010963
2025-04-27 0.002059 0.002586 0.003281 0.004294 0.005791 0.008020 0.011822
2025-05-04 0.002002 0.002526 0.003221 0.004243 0.005768 0.008068 0.012053
2025-05-11 0.001963 0.002489 0.003193 0.004237 0.005811 0.008219 0.012468
2025-05-18 0.001920 0.002446 0.003153 0.004211 0.005824 0.008322 0.012805
2025-05-25 0.001901 0.002435 0.003160 0.004254 0.005943 0.008600 0.013470
2025-06-01 0.001859 0.002390 0.003116 0.004220 0.005940 0.008678 0.013777